{
 "season": 2026,
 "completed_week": 5,
 "upcoming_week": 6,
 "as_of": "2026-10-12",
 "games_played": 79,
 "games_total": 272,
 "simulations": 20000,
 "seed": 2026,
 "method": "site's plain season simulation (playoff_sim.py): unplayed games from current Elo with a 48-point home edge (none at neutral sites), played games fixed, ties half a win, standings ties broken at random, 4 division winners + 3 wild cards per conference; #1 seed = best record in conference",
 "ratings_source": "data/predictions.json",
 "teams": {
  "ARI": {
   "team": "Arizona Cardinals",
   "division": "NFC West",
   "record": "1-4",
   "elo": 1367.0,
   "playoffs": 0.0032,
   "division_title": 0.0,
   "top_seed": 0.0
  },
  "ATL": {
   "team": "Atlanta Falcons",
   "division": "NFC South",
   "record": "2-3",
   "elo": 1468.4,
   "playoffs": 0.37785,
   "division_title": 0.36545,
   "top_seed": 0.0003
  },
  "BAL": {
   "team": "Baltimore Ravens",
   "division": "AFC North",
   "record": "4-1",
   "elo": 1584.4,
   "playoffs": 0.84785,
   "division_title": 0.56925,
   "top_seed": 0.1231
  },
  "BUF": {
   "team": "Buffalo Bills",
   "division": "AFC East",
   "record": "4-1",
   "elo": 1655.1,
   "playoffs": 0.9569,
   "division_title": 0.74715,
   "top_seed": 0.28385
  },
  "CAR": {
   "team": "Carolina Panthers",
   "division": "NFC South",
   "record": "2-2",
   "elo": 1453.7,
   "playoffs": 0.3797,
   "division_title": 0.36855,
   "top_seed": 0.0008
  },
  "CHI": {
   "team": "Chicago Bears",
   "division": "NFC North",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1539.7,
   "playoffs": 0.4008,
   "division_title": 0.03655,
   "top_seed": 0.0058
  },
  "CIN": {
   "team": "Cincinnati Bengals",
   "division": "AFC North",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1519.9,
   "playoffs": 0.6133,
   "division_title": 0.2277,
   "top_seed": 0.0264
  },
  "CLE": {
   "team": "Cleveland Browns",
   "division": "AFC North",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1433.4,
   "playoffs": 0.24805,
   "division_title": 0.0571,
   "top_seed": 0.00315
  },
  "DAL": {
   "team": "Dallas Cowboys",
   "division": "NFC East",
   "record": "2-3",
   "elo": 1448.5,
   "playoffs": 0.13985,
   "division_title": 0.11105,
   "top_seed": 0.00015
  },
  "DEN": {
   "team": "Denver Broncos",
   "division": "AFC West",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1602.8,
   "playoffs": 0.80275,
   "division_title": 0.39295,
   "top_seed": 0.0699
  },
  "DET": {
   "team": "Detroit Lions",
   "division": "NFC North",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1559.2,
   "playoffs": 0.63195,
   "division_title": 0.10485,
   "top_seed": 0.0206
  },
  "GB": {
   "team": "Green Bay Packers",
   "division": "NFC North",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1531.1,
   "playoffs": 0.4476,
   "division_title": 0.0454,
   "top_seed": 0.00765
  },
  "HOU": {
   "team": "Houston Texans",
   "division": "AFC South",
   "record": "1-4",
   "elo": 1533.8,
   "playoffs": 0.14005,
   "division_title": 0.0292,
   "top_seed": 0.00075
  },
  "IND": {
   "team": "Indianapolis Colts",
   "division": "AFC South",
   "record": "2-3",
   "elo": 1457.5,
   "playoffs": 0.14995,
   "division_title": 0.03265,
   "top_seed": 0.00085
  },
  "JAX": {
   "team": "Jacksonville Jaguars",
   "division": "AFC South",
   "record": "4-1",
   "elo": 1620.9,
   "playoffs": 0.96815,
   "division_title": 0.93815,
   "top_seed": 0.2786
  },
  "KC": {
   "team": "Kansas City Chiefs",
   "division": "AFC West",
   "record": "4-0",
   "elo": 1580.9,
   "playoffs": 0.8835,
   "division_title": 0.588,
   "top_seed": 0.139
  },
  "LA": {
   "team": "Los Angeles Rams",
   "division": "NFC West",
   "record": "2-3",
   "elo": 1584.6,
   "playoffs": 0.4908,
   "division_title": 0.03085,
   "top_seed": 0.00775
  },
  "LAC": {
   "team": "Los Angeles Chargers",
   "division": "AFC West",
   "record": "0-5",
   "elo": 1433.4,
   "playoffs": 0.00215,
   "division_title": 0.0002,
   "top_seed": 0.0
  },
  "LV": {
   "team": "Las Vegas Raiders",
   "division": "AFC West",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1417.8,
   "playoffs": 0.11095,
   "division_title": 0.01885,
   "top_seed": 0.00025
  },
  "MIA": {
   "team": "Miami Dolphins",
   "division": "AFC East",
   "record": "0-5",
   "elo": 1373.6,
   "playoffs": 0.00065,
   "division_title": 5e-05,
   "top_seed": 0.0
  },
  "MIN": {
   "team": "Minnesota Vikings",
   "division": "NFC North",
   "record": "5-0",
   "elo": 1631.5,
   "playoffs": 0.9787,
   "division_title": 0.8132,
   "top_seed": 0.36795
  },
  "NE": {
   "team": "New England Patriots",
   "division": "AFC East",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1603.3,
   "playoffs": 0.7735,
   "division_title": 0.25105,
   "top_seed": 0.05965
  },
  "NO": {
   "team": "New Orleans Saints",
   "division": "NFC South",
   "record": "1-4",
   "elo": 1389.0,
   "playoffs": 0.08845,
   "division_title": 0.0862,
   "top_seed": 0.0
  },
  "NYG": {
   "team": "New York Giants",
   "division": "NFC East",
   "record": "3-1-1",
   "elo": 1455.3,
   "playoffs": 0.4108,
   "division_title": 0.3569,
   "top_seed": 0.00295
  },
  "NYJ": {
   "team": "New York Jets",
   "division": "AFC East",
   "record": "2-3",
   "elo": 1382.2,
   "playoffs": 0.0156,
   "division_title": 0.00175,
   "top_seed": 0.0
  },
  "PHI": {
   "team": "Philadelphia Eagles",
   "division": "NFC East",
   "record": "2-3",
   "elo": 1536.2,
   "playoffs": 0.5428,
   "division_title": 0.4894,
   "top_seed": 0.00455
  },
  "PIT": {
   "team": "Pittsburgh Steelers",
   "division": "AFC North",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1527.6,
   "playoffs": 0.48655,
   "division_title": 0.14595,
   "top_seed": 0.0145
  },
  "SEA": {
   "team": "Seattle Seahawks",
   "division": "NFC West",
   "record": "3-2",
   "elo": 1670.5,
   "playoffs": 0.87915,
   "division_title": 0.18945,
   "top_seed": 0.0833
  },
  "SF": {
   "team": "San Francisco 49ers",
   "division": "NFC West",
   "record": "5-0",
   "elo": 1650.7,
   "playoffs": 0.9886,
   "division_title": 0.7797,
   "top_seed": 0.49815
  },
  "TB": {
   "team": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers",
   "division": "NFC South",
   "record": "1-4",
   "elo": 1450.0,
   "playoffs": 0.18645,
   "division_title": 0.1798,
   "top_seed": 5e-05
  },
  "TEN": {
   "team": "Tennessee Titans",
   "division": "AFC South",
   "record": "0-5",
   "elo": 1283.9,
   "playoffs": 0.0001,
   "division_title": 0.0,
   "top_seed": 0.0
  },
  "WAS": {
   "team": "Washington Commanders",
   "division": "NFC East",
   "record": "1-3-1",
   "elo": 1414.1,
   "playoffs": 0.0533,
   "division_title": 0.04265,
   "top_seed": 0.0
  }
 }
}