Betting Strategies

Data-driven approaches for every NFL betting market

Spread Betting
Intermediate

Master point spread analysis using EPA differentials and situational factors.

Learn More
Totals Analysis
Intermediate

Predict game totals with pace, efficiency, and weather adjustments.

Learn More
Player Props
Advanced

Find soft lines using target share, snap counts, and matchup data.

Learn More
Live Betting
Advanced

Exploit in-game market inefficiencies with win probability models.

Learn More
Futures & Season Bets
Intermediate

Super Bowl, division, and win total betting strategies.

Learn More
Teasers & Parlays
Intermediate

When multi-leg bets make mathematical sense.

Learn More

Core Betting Principles

Expected Value

Only bet when your estimated probability exceeds the implied odds. Positive EV is the foundation of profitable betting.

Bankroll Management

Use Kelly Criterion or flat betting. Never risk more than 3-5% on a single wager.

Track CLV

Closing line value is the best predictor of long-term success. Beat the close consistently.

Ready to Apply These Strategies?

Use our calculators to find +EV bets and size them optimally