Championship Game

Super Bowl LX

Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA

February 8, 2026 6:30 PM ET FOX
LX

Super Bowl Favorites

FAVORITE
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
18.5%
Super Bowl Probability
Odds: +350
BUF
Buffalo Bills
16.8%
Super Bowl Probability
Odds: +400
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
12.8%
Super Bowl Probability
Odds: +600
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
11.2%
Super Bowl Probability
Odds: +700

Most Likely Matchups

Most Likely Matchup
Eagles vs Bills
9.5%
Spread PHI -1.5
Total 51.5

Josh Allen vs Jalen Hurts. Elite dual-threat QB showdown with two #1 seeds.

Eagles vs Steelers
5.8%
Spread PHI -3
Total 46.5

Pennsylvania Super Bowl. Historic in-state rivalry on the biggest stage.

Seahawks vs Bills
4.2%
Spread BUF -2.5
Total 49.5

Mike Macdonald's defense vs Josh Allen. Explosive offenses battle.

Bears vs Bills
3.1%
Spread BUF -4
Total 52.5

Caleb Williams vs Josh Allen. New era QBs in a shootout matchup.

Super Bowl Futures Odds

Team FanDuel DraftKings BetMGM Best Odds
Philadelphia Eagles +350 +340 +360 +360
Buffalo Bills +400 +380 +400 +400
Seattle Seahawks +600 +550 +600 +600
Pittsburgh Steelers +700 +650 +700 +700
Chicago Bears +900 +850 +900 +900
Houston Texans +1200 +1100 +1200 +1200

Recent Super Bowl History

Year Matchup Score Spread ATS
LVIII Chiefs vs 49ers 25-22 (OT) SF -2 KC covered
LVII Chiefs vs Eagles 38-35 PHI -1.5 KC covered
LVI Rams vs Bengals 23-20 LA -4 CIN covered
LV Buccaneers vs Chiefs 31-9 KC -3 TB covered
LIV Chiefs vs 49ers 31-20 KC -1 KC covered
Super Bowl Trends
  • Favorites are 29-28 ATS all-time
  • Unders are 33-23-1 historically
  • AFC has won 4 of last 5 Super Bowls
  • #1 seeds have won 5 of last 10
  • Average margin: 11.2 points

Super Bowl Betting Angles

Value Play

The Seahawks at +550 offer the best value. Their 12.8% model probability implies fair odds of +680, making current prices +EV with a favorable NFC bracket path.

Fade Alert

The Eagles at +350 are fairly priced but not great value. Their 18.5% probability implies +440 fair odds - you're paying a premium for the favorite.

Longshot Value

Bears at +850 (DraftKings) offer upside. Caleb Williams' ceiling and Ben Johnson's offense give them legitimate upset potential in any matchup.

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