Stat Explainer

Atlanta Falcons: 2026 Schedule & Season Tracker

The complete 2026 slate with rest edges and schedule context, the 2025 ledger, and the franchise record since 1999 — every number computed from the bundled nflverse game log.

By C. B. Zakarian · Updated July 29, 2026

The Atlanta Falcons enter 2026 off a 8–9 season. Their 2026 opponents went a combined 134–154–1 in 2025 (a .465 strength of schedule, 28 of 32 — the naive prior-year method, whose real forecast error we measured here). The calendar hands them a net rest differential of +7 days (9 of 32), with week 4 (+3), week 12 (+7), week 13 (-3); the bye falls in week 11, they play 1 Thursday game, and 3 of their final four games are divisional. Rest-edge context lives in the schedule-quirks explainer.

2026 schedule

Results fill in automatically as the bundled nflverse game log updates; until a game is played its result column shows a dash.

WkDateOpponentRest edgeNotesResult
1Sep 13at Pittsburgh Steelers
2Sep 20vs Carolina PanthersDIV
3Sep 24at Green Bay PackersThu
4Oct 5at New Orleans Saints+3DIV Mon
5Oct 11vs Baltimore Ravens-1
6Oct 18vs Chicago Bears
7Oct 25vs San Francisco 49ers+1
8Nov 1at Tampa Bay BuccaneersDIV
9Nov 8vs Cincinnati Bengals
10Nov 15vs Kansas City Chiefs
12Nov 29at Minnesota Vikings+7
13Dec 6vs Detroit Lions-3
14Dec 13at Cleveland Browns
15Dec 20at Washington Commanders
16Dec 27vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersDIV
17Jan 3vs New Orleans SaintsDIV
18Jan 10at Carolina PanthersDIV

The 2025 ledger

Final record 8–9, 353 points scored against 401 allowed (-48). Home 4–4, road 4–5. One-score games (decided by 8 or fewer): 5–5 — the split most likely to regress either way, per the Pythagorean explainer.

Franchise baseline, 1999–2025

Across the 27 seasons in our game log the franchise is 210–226–1 (.482). Best season in the window: 2010 (13–3); leanest: 2000 (4–12). Franchise moves are joined under the current code (ATL), so older seasons include predecessor cities where applicable.

Sources: nflverse public game log bundled at data/games.csv (schedule, rest, and results; retrieved July 2026 — in-season updates refresh this page's results column). No projections, no invented numbers: this page reports the schedule and the record, and links the analysis.