The complete 2026 slate with rest edges and schedule context, the 2025 ledger, and the franchise record since 1999 — every number computed from the bundled nflverse game log.
By C. B. Zakarian · Updated July 29, 2026
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter 2026 off a 8–9 season. Their 2026 opponents went a combined 141–146–2 in 2025 (a .491 strength of schedule, 21 of 32 — the naive prior-year method, whose real forecast error we measured here). The calendar hands them a net rest differential of -2 days (20 of 32), with week 4 (-3), week 6 (+3), week 11 (+7), week 14 (-7); the bye falls in week 10, they play 1 Thursday game, and 3 of their final four games are divisional. Rest-edge context lives in the schedule-quirks explainer.
Results fill in automatically as the bundled nflverse game log updates; until a game is played its result column shows a dash.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Rest edge | Notes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 13 | at Cincinnati Bengals | — | — | — |
| 2 | Sep 20 | vs Cleveland Browns | — | — | — |
| 3 | Sep 27 | vs Minnesota Vikings | — | — | — |
| 4 | Oct 4 | vs Green Bay Packers | -3 | — | — |
| 5 | Oct 8 | at Dallas Cowboys | — | Thu | — |
| 6 | Oct 18 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | +3 | — | — |
| 7 | Oct 25 | at Carolina Panthers | — | DIV | — |
| 8 | Nov 1 | vs Atlanta Falcons | — | DIV | — |
| 9 | Nov 8 | at Chicago Bears | +1 | — | — |
| 11 | Nov 22 | at Detroit Lions | +7 | — | — |
| 12 | Nov 30 | vs Carolina Panthers | — | DIV Mon | — |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | -1 | — | — |
| 14 | Dec 13 | at Baltimore Ravens | -7 | — | — |
| 15 | Dec 20 | vs New Orleans Saints | — | DIV | — |
| 16 | Dec 27 | at Atlanta Falcons | — | DIV | — |
| 17 | Jan 3 | vs Los Angeles Rams | -2 | — | — |
| 18 | Jan 10 | at New Orleans Saints | — | DIV | — |
Final record 8–9, 380 points scored against 411 allowed (-31). Home 4–4, road 4–5. One-score games (decided by 8 or fewer): 6–6 — the split most likely to regress either way, per the Pythagorean explainer.
Across the 27 seasons in our game log the franchise is 208–229 (.476). Best season in the window: 2021 (13–4); leanest: 2014 (2–14). Franchise moves are joined under the current code (TB), so older seasons include predecessor cities where applicable.
Sources: nflverse public game log bundled at data/games.csv (schedule, rest, and results; retrieved July 2026 — in-season updates refresh this page's results column). No projections, no invented numbers: this page reports the schedule and the record, and links the analysis.