The complete 2026 slate with rest edges and schedule context, the 2025 ledger, and the franchise record since 1999 — every number computed from the bundled nflverse game log.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter 2026 off a 8–9 season. Their 2026 opponents went a combined 141–146–2 in 2025 (a .491 strength of schedule, 21 of 32 — the naive prior-year method, whose real forecast error is measured here). The calendar hands them a net rest differential of -2 days (20 of 32), with week 4 (-3), week 6 (+3), week 11 (+7), week 14 (-7); the bye falls in week 10, they play 1 Thursday game, and 3 of their final four games are divisional. The slate has 3 kickoffs at 7 PM ET or later and a longest road stretch of 2 straight games. Rest-edge context lives in the schedule-quirks explainer; the division picture is in the NFC South preview.
Results fill in automatically as the bundled nflverse game log updates; until a game is played its result column shows a dash.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Rest edge | Notes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 13 | at Cincinnati Bengals | — | — | — |
| 2 | Sep 20 | vs Cleveland Browns | — | — | — |
| 3 | Sep 27 | vs Minnesota Vikings | — | — | — |
| 4 | Oct 4 | vs Green Bay Packers | -3 | — | — |
| 5 | Oct 8 | at Dallas Cowboys | — | Thu | — |
| 6 | Oct 18 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | +3 | — | — |
| 7 | Oct 25 | at Carolina Panthers | — | DIV | — |
| 8 | Nov 1 | vs Atlanta Falcons | — | DIV | — |
| 9 | Nov 8 | at Chicago Bears | +1 | — | — |
| 11 | Nov 22 | at Detroit Lions | +7 | — | — |
| 12 | Nov 30 | vs Carolina Panthers | — | DIV Mon | — |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | -1 | — | — |
| 14 | Dec 13 | at Baltimore Ravens | -7 | — | — |
| 15 | Dec 20 | vs New Orleans Saints | — | DIV | — |
| 16 | Dec 27 | at Atlanta Falcons | — | DIV | — |
| 17 | Jan 3 | vs Los Angeles Rams | -2 | — | — |
| 18 | Jan 10 | at New Orleans Saints | — | DIV | — |
Final record 8–9, 380 points scored against 411 allowed (-31). Home 4–4, road 4–5. One-score games (decided by 8 or fewer): 6–6 — the split most likely to regress either way, per the Pythagorean explainer.
Across the 27 seasons in the bundled game log the franchise is 208–229 (.476). Best season in the window: 2021 (13–4); leanest: 2014 (2–14). Franchise moves are joined under the current code (TB), so older seasons include predecessor cities where applicable.
Sources: nflverse public game log bundled at data/games.csv (schedule, rest, and results; retrieved August 2026 — in-season updates refresh this page's results column). No projections, no invented numbers: this page reports the schedule and the record, and links the analysis.