Stat Explainer

Buffalo Bills: 2026 Schedule & Season Tracker

The complete 2026 slate with rest edges and schedule context, the 2025 ledger, and the franchise record since 1999 — every number computed from the bundled nflverse game log.

The Buffalo Bills enter 2026 off a 12–5 season. Their 2026 opponents went a combined 152–136–1 in 2025 (a .528 strength of schedule, 8 of 32 — the naive prior-year method, whose real forecast error is measured here). The calendar hands them a net rest differential of +14 days (2 of 32), with week 3 (+3), week 8 (+7), week 13 (+3); the bye falls in week 7, they play 2 Thursday games, and 2 of their final four games are divisional. The slate has 6 kickoffs at 7 PM ET or later and a longest road stretch of 2 straight games. Rest-edge context lives in the schedule-quirks explainer; the division picture is in the AFC East preview.

2026 schedule

Results fill in automatically as the bundled nflverse game log updates; until a game is played its result column shows a dash.

WkDateOpponentRest edgeNotesResult
1Sep 13at Houston Texans——W 36–31
2Sep 17vs Detroit Lions—ThuW 41–31
3Sep 27vs Los Angeles Chargers+3—W 24–16
4Oct 4vs New England Patriots—DIVL 26–29
5Oct 12at Los Angeles Rams—MonW 37–34
6Oct 18at Las Vegas Raiders-1—W 33–30
8Nov 1vs Baltimore Ravens+7——
9Nov 9at Minnesota Vikings—Mon—
10Nov 15at New York Jets-1DIV—
11Nov 22vs Miami Dolphins—DIV—
12Nov 26vs Kansas City Chiefs—Thu—
13Dec 6at New England Patriots+3DIV—
14Dec 13at Green Bay Packers———
15Dec 19vs Chicago Bears—Sat—
16Dec 25at Denver Broncos+1Fri—
17Jan 3at Miami Dolphins+2DIV—
18Jan 10vs New York Jets—DIV—

The 2025 ledger

Final record 12–5, 481 points scored against 365 allowed (+116). Home 7–2, road 5–3. One-score games (decided by 8 or fewer): 5–3 — the split most likely to regress either way, per the Pythagorean explainer.

Franchise baseline, 1999–2025

Across the 27 seasons in the bundled game log the franchise is 221–215 (.507). Best season in the window: 2020 (13–3); leanest: 2001 (3–13). Franchise moves are joined under the current code (BUF), so older seasons include predecessor cities where applicable.

Sources: nflverse public game log bundled at data/games.csv (schedule, rest, and results; retrieved August 2026 — in-season updates refresh this page's results column). No projections, no invented numbers: this page reports the schedule and the record, and links the analysis.