Stat Explainer

Buffalo Bills: 2026 Schedule & Season Tracker

The complete 2026 slate with rest edges and schedule context, the 2025 ledger, and the franchise record since 1999 — every number computed from the bundled nflverse game log.

By C. B. Zakarian · Updated July 29, 2026

The Buffalo Bills enter 2026 off a 12–5 season. Their 2026 opponents went a combined 152–136–1 in 2025 (a .528 strength of schedule, 8 of 32 — the naive prior-year method, whose real forecast error we measured here). The calendar hands them a net rest differential of +14 days (2 of 32), with week 3 (+3), week 8 (+7), week 13 (+3); the bye falls in week 7, they play 2 Thursday games, and 2 of their final four games are divisional. Rest-edge context lives in the schedule-quirks explainer.

2026 schedule

Results fill in automatically as the bundled nflverse game log updates; until a game is played its result column shows a dash.

WkDateOpponentRest edgeNotesResult
1Sep 13at Houston Texans
2Sep 17vs Detroit LionsThu
3Sep 27vs Los Angeles Chargers+3
4Oct 4vs New England PatriotsDIV
5Oct 12at Los Angeles RamsMon
6Oct 18at Las Vegas Raiders-1
8Nov 1vs Baltimore Ravens+7
9Nov 9at Minnesota VikingsMon
10Nov 15at New York Jets-1DIV
11Nov 22vs Miami DolphinsDIV
12Nov 26vs Kansas City ChiefsThu
13Dec 6at New England Patriots+3DIV
14Dec 13at Green Bay Packers
15Dec 19vs Chicago BearsSat
16Dec 25at Denver Broncos+1Fri
17Jan 3at Miami Dolphins+2DIV
18Jan 10vs New York JetsDIV

The 2025 ledger

Final record 12–5, 481 points scored against 365 allowed (+116). Home 7–2, road 5–3. One-score games (decided by 8 or fewer): 5–3 — the split most likely to regress either way, per the Pythagorean explainer.

Franchise baseline, 1999–2025

Across the 27 seasons in our game log the franchise is 221–215 (.507). Best season in the window: 2020 (13–3); leanest: 2001 (3–13). Franchise moves are joined under the current code (BUF), so older seasons include predecessor cities where applicable.

Sources: nflverse public game log bundled at data/games.csv (schedule, rest, and results; retrieved July 2026 — in-season updates refresh this page's results column). No projections, no invented numbers: this page reports the schedule and the record, and links the analysis.