Stat Explainer

Miami Dolphins: 2026 Schedule & Season Tracker

The complete 2026 slate with rest edges and schedule context, the 2025 ledger, and the franchise record since 1999 — every number computed from the bundled nflverse game log.

The Miami Dolphins enter 2026 off a 7–10 season. Their 2026 opponents went a combined 156–132–1 in 2025 (a .542 strength of schedule, 2 of 32 — the naive prior-year method, whose real forecast error is measured here). The calendar hands them a net rest differential of -6 days (26 of 32), with week 2 (-3), week 7 (+7), week 8 (-3), week 16 (-3); the bye falls in week 6, they play 0 Thursday games, and 2 of their final four games are divisional. The slate has 0 kickoffs at 7 PM ET or later and a longest road stretch of 2 straight games. Rest-edge context lives in the schedule-quirks explainer; the division picture is in the AFC East preview.

2026 schedule

Results fill in automatically as the bundled nflverse game log updates; until a game is played its result column shows a dash.

WkDateOpponentRest edgeNotesResult
1Sep 13at Las Vegas Raiders——L 13–27
2Sep 20at San Francisco 49ers-3—L 13–35
3Sep 27vs Kansas City Chiefs——L 10–24
4Oct 4at Minnesota Vikings——L 10–15
5Oct 11vs Cincinnati Bengals——L 24–31
7Oct 25at New York Jets+7DIVW 28–25
8Nov 1vs New England Patriots-3DIV—
9Nov 8vs Detroit Lions———
10Nov 15at Indianapolis Colts———
11Nov 22at Buffalo Bills—DIV—
12Nov 29vs New York Jets—DIV—
13Dec 6at Denver Broncos-2——
14Dec 13vs Chicago Bears———
15Dec 20at Green Bay Packers———
16Dec 27vs Los Angeles Chargers-3——
17Jan 3vs Buffalo Bills-2DIV—
18Jan 10at New England Patriots—DIV—

The 2025 ledger

Final record 7–10, 347 points scored against 424 allowed (-77). Home 5–4, road 2–6. One-score games (decided by 8 or fewer): 4–3 — the split most likely to regress either way, per the Pythagorean explainer.

Franchise baseline, 1999–2025

Across the 27 seasons in the bundled game log the franchise is 212–225 (.485). Best season in the window: 2000 (11–5); leanest: 2007 (1–15). Franchise moves are joined under the current code (MIA), so older seasons include predecessor cities where applicable.

Sources: nflverse public game log bundled at data/games.csv (schedule, rest, and results; retrieved August 2026 — in-season updates refresh this page's results column). No projections, no invented numbers: this page reports the schedule and the record, and links the analysis.