Stat Explainer

Denver Broncos: 2026 Schedule & Season Tracker

The complete 2026 slate with rest edges and schedule context, the 2025 ledger, and the franchise record since 1999 — every number computed from the bundled nflverse game log.

By C. B. Zakarian · Updated July 29, 2026

The Denver Broncos enter 2026 off a 14–3 season. Their 2026 opponents went a combined 148–141 in 2025 (a .512 strength of schedule, 15 of 32 — the naive prior-year method, whose real forecast error we measured here). The calendar hands them a net rest differential of +3 days (12 of 32), with week 7 (+3), week 9 (-3), week 11 (+7), week 14 (-7); the bye falls in week 10, they play 1 Thursday game, and 2 of their final four games are divisional. Rest-edge context lives in the schedule-quirks explainer.

2026 schedule

Results fill in automatically as the bundled nflverse game log updates; until a game is played its result column shows a dash.

WkDateOpponentRest edgeNotesResult
1Sep 14at Kansas City ChiefsDIV Mon
2Sep 20vs Jacksonville Jaguars-1
3Sep 27vs Los Angeles Rams+1
4Oct 4at San Francisco 49ers
5Oct 11at Los Angeles ChargersDIV
6Oct 15vs Seattle SeahawksThu
7Oct 25at Arizona Cardinals+3
8Nov 1vs Kansas City ChiefsDIV
9Nov 8at Carolina Panthers-3
11Nov 22vs Las Vegas Raiders+7DIV
12Nov 27at Pittsburgh SteelersFri
13Dec 6vs Miami Dolphins+2
14Dec 13at New York Jets-7
15Dec 20at Las Vegas RaidersDIV
16Dec 25vs Buffalo Bills-1Fri
17Jan 3at New England Patriots+2
18Jan 10vs Los Angeles ChargersDIV

The 2025 ledger

Final record 14–3, 401 points scored against 311 allowed (+90). Home 8–1, road 6–2. One-score games (decided by 8 or fewer): 11–2 — the split most likely to regress either way, per the Pythagorean explainer.

Franchise baseline, 1999–2025

Across the 27 seasons in our game log the franchise is 237–200 (.542). Best season in the window: 2025 (14–3); leanest: 2010 (4–12). Franchise moves are joined under the current code (DEN), so older seasons include predecessor cities where applicable.

Sources: nflverse public game log bundled at data/games.csv (schedule, rest, and results; retrieved July 2026 — in-season updates refresh this page's results column). No projections, no invented numbers: this page reports the schedule and the record, and links the analysis.