Stat Explainer

New England Patriots: 2026 Schedule & Season Tracker

The complete 2026 slate with rest edges and schedule context, the 2025 ledger, and the franchise record since 1999 — every number computed from the bundled nflverse game log.

The New England Patriots enter 2026 off a 14–3 season. Their 2026 opponents went a combined 153–135–1 in 2025 (a .531 strength of schedule, 6 of 32 — the naive prior-year method, whose real forecast error is measured here). The calendar hands them a net rest differential of +8 days (8 of 32), with week 2 (+4), week 8 (+3), week 9 (-3), week 12 (+7), week 13 (-3), week 15 (+3); the bye falls in week 11, they play 2 Thursday games, and 2 of their final four games are divisional. The slate has 5 kickoffs at 7 PM ET or later and a longest road stretch of 2 straight games. Rest-edge context lives in the schedule-quirks explainer; the division picture is in the AFC East preview.

2026 schedule

Results fill in automatically as the bundled nflverse game log updates; until a game is played its result column shows a dash.

WkDateOpponentRest edgeNotesResult
1Sep 9at Seattle Seahawks—WedL 10–13
2Sep 20vs Pittsburgh Steelers+4—W 20–3
3Sep 27at Jacksonville Jaguars——L 6–35
4Oct 4at Buffalo Bills—DIVW 29–26
5Oct 11vs Las Vegas Raiders——W 45–17
6Oct 18vs New York Jets—DIVW 26–19
7Oct 22at Chicago Bears—ThuL 24–30
8Nov 1at Miami Dolphins+3DIV—
9Nov 8vs Green Bay Packers-3——
10Nov 15vs Detroit Lions—Neutral (FC Bayern Munich Stadium)—
12Nov 29at Los Angeles Chargers+7——
13Dec 6vs Buffalo Bills-3DIV—
14Dec 10vs Minnesota Vikings—Thu—
15Dec 21at Kansas City Chiefs+3Mon—
16Dec 27at New York Jets-1DIV—
17Jan 3vs Denver Broncos-2——
18Jan 10vs Miami Dolphins—DIV—

The 2025 ledger

Final record 14–3, 490 points scored against 320 allowed (+170). Home 6–3, road 8–0. One-score games (decided by 8 or fewer): 7–3 — the split most likely to regress either way, per the Pythagorean explainer.

Franchise baseline, 1999–2025

Across the 27 seasons in the bundled game log the franchise is 292–145 (.668). Best season in the window: 2007 (16–0); leanest: 2023 (4–13). Franchise moves are joined under the current code (NE), so older seasons include predecessor cities where applicable.

Sources: nflverse public game log bundled at data/games.csv (schedule, rest, and results; retrieved August 2026 — in-season updates refresh this page's results column). No projections, no invented numbers: this page reports the schedule and the record, and links the analysis.